Saturday, May 19, 2012
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MBS AFTERNOON: Massive Stock Rally Leaves Bonds Slightly Weaker

Posted To: MBS Commentary

After reaching as high as 101-20, MBS 4.5's are back down to 101-14. Its seems that layers of support are building at levels that would leave 4.5's at PAR after settlement next week. Far be it from me to suggest there's some sort of external force that continues to push 4.5's toward that 101-00 level, but it LOOKS that way on the chart at least. Meanwhile, stocks had recovered 100% of today's losses, though with the close still 20 minutes away, difficult to say where things will end. As for treasuries, the yield curve is reasonably unchanged on the day save for a little bulge in the belly (5's and 7's leading the pack by 2bps). All told, the stock lever did what we wanted it to do in the case of a stock sell-off today, and as stocks have rallied, little of what we…(read more)

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